Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13

[Preds]

Attached is a W/L record for each team this season. If I missed a scenario or made an error somewhere let me know!

The scenarios for 1 of the top 5 seeds are:

Opihi clinched playoff berth, needs a win or Predators loss to clinch East division. A win also guarantees division and top seed

Cards clinched West, can win top seed with win and Opihi loss

Chickens clinched playoff berth, wins Central with a win or Swords loss

Swords wins Central with a win and Chickens loss, can miss playoffs with a loss and Preds & Bees wins

Preds can win East with a win and Opihi loss, can earn no higher than 3rd seed, can miss playoffs entirely with a loss & Bees win

Bees needs a win and Preds or Swords loss

Scorpions needs a win and losses by Preds & Swords

Dogs needs a win and losses by Preds, Swords & Scorpions (might need other help as well)

For the All Play 6th seed the Dogs have a large lead with 96 wins and the next closest being the Swords and Bees (assuming the Dogs miss out on a top 5).

[Bounty Hunter]

Thanks for putting this together Mike.

[chasmvp19]

#2 seeds too numerous to figure???

[chasmvp19]

Not sure I want Bee in playoffs...but I want (hope) for a bye...a win would secure that...a Card loss opens tons of scenarios where we may not get a bye...yikes...

[Bounty Hunter]

If I understand the all play thing I need 3 All Play wins to to make the tourney.

[Preds]

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter

If I understand the all play thing I need 3 All Play wins to to make the tourney.

Yes 3 would guarantee you a playoff spot, as would the Swords losing at least 3, or the Bees losing at least 1. Or some combination of the above.

[Bounty Hunter]

More paths than I thought. Who's genius idea was it to use All play?

[Preds]

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter

More paths than I thought. Who's genius idea was it to use All play?

I pushed it, and it cost me a playoff berth last year!

[Royal Hawaiian Opihi]

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter

Thanks for putting this together Mike.

[Bounty Hunter]

I voted for All Play but didn't understand how it worked. I thought it had something to do with each positions score (QB against QB ect) against other teams position scores.

[Royal Hawaiian Opihi]

I still think it's a good indication of the overall strength of a team. You can have a solid, competitive team that loses some close ones to good teams, and still gets rewarded with a playoff birth. As opposed to being in a weaker division and having a better record (ala the NFC East for so many years, or the NFC South a few years ago, etc.).

[chasmvp19]

Or Burt making it at all...63 all play wins??? How did he win any games this year...

[Burt the Butcher]

Originally Posted by chasmvp19

Or Burt making it at all...63 all play wins??? How did he win any games this year...

All the sweeter when I run through all you all-play heavyweights to the title

[chasmvp19]

Too funny Burt...I went against my better judgement posting that for a tiny laugh...everyone is a threat once the tourney begins...

[Preds]

Well after a one year absence, the Preds have limped their way back into the Post-Season with a 9-5 record and will be seeded either 3rd, 4th or 5th. If the Opihi win over the Bees the Preds will be the 4 or 5 seed. If they lose we'll be 3rd seed and Eastern Division winners.

Week 15 the Preds will be facing either the Swords/Bees whom are battling for the 4/5 seeds (or missing the playoffs entirely), or Dogs (who will be the 6th seed). I have to be honest, I don't really like our chances against any of them regardless of what seed we have. Round 1 of the playoffs will be a major challenge either way.

The Opihi can still win the 1 seed with a win over the Bees, or the 4 seed with a loss.

All-Play means little to the Chickens who will win the 1 seed with an Opihi loss, despite a below .500 All-Play record! if the Opihi pull out a win the Chickens will be the 3 seed.

The Cards will be 2 seed and have earned a week 15 bye.

The current seeding heading into the Sunday night game:

1 Opihi or Chickens
2 Cards
3 Chickens or Preds (9-5)
4 Opihi, Preds (9-5) or Swords
5 Preds (9-5), Swords or Bees
6 Dogs

7 Swords, Bees or Scorpions (7-7)
8 Bees or Scorpions (7-7)
9 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
10 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
11 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
12 Freedom (3-11)

[Preds]

Updated through the Sunday Night game

The Opihi can still win the 1 seed with a win over the Bees, or the 4 seed with a loss.

The Chickens have earned a week 15 bye and will either be the 1 seed with an Opihi loss or the 2 seed with an Opihi win.

The Cards will be the 2 seed with an Opihi loss or 3 seed with an Opihi win.

The Preds will be either the 3, 4 or 5 seed

The Swords can finish as the 4 or 5 seed with a win or out of the playoffs with the 7th seed with a loss and a Bees win.

The Bees can finish as the 5 seed with a win or out of the playoffs as the 7th or 8th seed with a loss.

Seeding heading into Monday Night:

1 Opihi (10-4 with a win) or Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi loss)
2 Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi win) or Cards (9-5 with an Opihi loss)
3 Cards (9-5 with an Opihi win) or Preds (9-5 with an Ophi loss)
4 Opihi (9-5 with a loss), Preds (9-5 with an Opihi Win and Swords loss) or Swords (9-5 with a win and an Opihi win)
5 Preds (9-5 with Opihi and Swords wins), Swords (9-5 with a win and Opihi loss or 8-6 with a loss and Opihi win), or Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords loss)
6 Dogs (7-7)

7 Swords (8-6 with a loss and Bees win), Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords win), or Scorpions (7-7 with Bees loss)
8 Bees (7-7 with a loss), or Scorpions (7-7 with a Bees win)
9 Burners (5-9)
10 Derby Car (5-9 with a win), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car loss)
11 Derby Car (4-10 with a loss), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car win)
12 Freedom (3-11)
________________

[Royal Hawaiian Opihi]

Need a big game by Brady... throwing no TDs to Edelman.

[Burt the Butcher]

So why would Cards be a higher seed than Chickens with a worse record?

[Preds]

Originally Posted by Burt the Butcher

So why would Cards be a higher seed than Chickens with a worse record?

it's that new fandangled common core math that all the Millennials are using

OK fixed... sub-consciously my brain just couldn't fathom that the Chunky Chickens ate their way to a 10-4 record despite a sub .500 All Play Record. I kept thinking you were 9-5.

Sorry for the dis

[Preds]

Originally Posted by Preds

Seeding heading into Monday Night:

1 Opihi (10-4 with a win) or Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi loss)
2 Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi win) or Cards (9-5 with an Opihi loss)
3 Cards (9-5 with an Opihi win) or Preds (9-5 with an Ophi loss)
4 Opihi (9-5 with a loss), Preds (9-5 with an Opihi Win and Swords loss) or Swords (9-5 with a win and an Opihi win)
5 Preds (9-5 with Opihi and Swords wins), Swords (9-5 with a win and Opihi loss or 8-6 with a loss and Opihi win), or Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords loss)
6 Dogs (7-7)

7 Swords (8-6 with a loss and Bees win), Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords win), or Scorpions (7-7 with Bees loss)
8 Bees (7-7 with a loss), or Scorpions (7-7 with a Bees win)
9 Burners (5-9)
10 Derby Car (5-9 with a win), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car loss)
11 Derby Car (4-10 with a loss), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car win)
12 Freedom (3-11)
________________

Pretty crazy that the only thing certain in the top 6 is the Dogs with the 6th seed! A lot hinges on Tom Brady and the Opihi against the Bees and Edelman tonight!

[Burt the Butcher]

Originally Posted by Preds

it's that new fandangled common core math that all the Millennials are using

OK fixed... sub-consciously my brain just couldn't fathom that the Chunky Chickens ate their way to a 10-4 record despite a sub .500 All Play Record. I kept thinking you were 9-5.

Sorry for the dis

..ok...thought there was some other rule I was missing..

[Burt the Butcher]

And it got closer to .500 with my league sweep this week...it just took me a while to get warmed up...

[Preds]

Originally Posted by Burt the Butcher

And it got closer to .500 with my league sweep this week...it just took me a while to get warmed up...

74-80 is the best you can finish in All-Play... absolutely amazing strokes of matchup luck that netted you a 10-4 record! All that said, there's no question you're squad is much stronger now than earlier in the season. Definitely a legit threat to win it all, especially with the bye.

[chasmvp19]

I would prefer a bye...but think bees might be the stronger team...like my matchups next week if we have to play...either way - good luck tonight boys and to those on to the post season...waiting to see extent of Gordons injury...not good timing as was Cooks drop in the endzone...ugh....

[Burt the Butcher]

Gordon could be week to week, so maybe not so bad Chuck.

I get Jeffery back this week, just in time for the 'offs, so I am happy and will be running on full cylinders, with everyone seemingly healthy and clean....

[Bounty Hunter]

Maybe Jeffery can draw the coverage away from Meredith. Seems like defenses determine who the #1 receivers are.

[predator06]

Holy moly!!! I thought I was out with the Preds win! Ok...playoffs for the Bees start tonight. I've never liked Brady