Pred's Fantasy Football Forums - View Single Post - 2007 Rules Discussion

Flaxwless · December 3rd, 2007, 08:02 PM

I am not opposed to a weighted lottery. Here's what I would suggest:

It be a lottery between the bottom 3 for the #1 pick w/ picks #2-12 based on record.

Bottom 3 teams lottery

Worst record - 60% chance at #1 overall
2nd worst - 30% chance at #1 overall
3rd worst - 10% chance at #1 overall

A nice simple way to avoid tanking, yet does not ruin league parity through the rookie draft as the worst team can drop no further than #2. Roughly 2 out of 3 times it will keep the 1st pick, with a 40% chance of dropping to #2.

The 2nd worst team has a 1 in 3 chance to move up 1 spot and a 10% shot at moving down 1 spot.

The 3rd worst team will move up 2 spots, 1 out of 10 times or else keep it's spot the other 90% of the time.

It should keep things honest enough to prevent tanking, yet not sigificantly impact the value of high rookie picks for the bottom teams.

December 3rd, 2007, 08:02 PM	#32
Flaxwless Feeding Frenzy Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Bay Area, California Posts: 6,050	Re: 2007 Rules Discussion - Weighted Lottery for the #1 pick I am not opposed to a weighted lottery. Here's what I would suggest: It be a lottery between the bottom 3 for the #1 pick w/ picks #2-12 based on record. Bottom 3 teams lottery Worst record - 60% chance at #1 overall 2nd worst - 30% chance at #1 overall 3rd worst - 10% chance at #1 overall A nice simple way to avoid tanking, yet does not ruin league parity through the rookie draft as the worst team can drop no further than #2. Roughly 2 out of 3 times it will keep the 1st pick, with a 40% chance of dropping to #2. The 2nd worst team has a 1 in 3 chance to move up 1 spot and a 10% shot at moving down 1 spot. The 3rd worst team will move up 2 spots, 1 out of 10 times or else keep it's spot the other 90% of the time. It should keep things honest enough to prevent tanking, yet not sigificantly impact the value of high rookie picks for the bottom teams. __________________ Bay Area Bloodsucking Insects - 1st EVER Feeding Frenzy Champion Bay Area Bloodsuckers 2008 SAC'D Champions - 2nd Worst to First in Year! 2011 SAC'D Champions - #5 seed, # 2 power rankings, #1 in the end!