[Preds]

Heading into the Sunday Night game:

Preds 109.95 + Jordan Reed
Cards 93.65 + Lamar Miller & Sebastian Janikowski

Can Reed (12.23/wk avg) plus 16.3 outscore Miller (17.27/wk avg) and Janikowski (9.49/wk avg)? Average stats have it essentially even (1.77 avg pt edge to Preds).

A closer look at advanced stats reveals that although Reed faces the 16th ranked pass defense, a analytics show they rank 26th overall against the TE position allowing an average of 12.63/wk). Thus it's reasonable to assume Reed should score close to his average.

Meanwhile for the Cards, Miller has what looks to be a juicy matchup against the Raiders 21st ranked rush defense and 27th ranked pass defense. Analytics reveal that against the RB position the Raiders rank 21st overall allowing an average 27.78 points against to the RB position each week. Janikowski faces a Texans Defense that ranks middle of the pack at 17th overall in points allowed to Kickers with an average of 8.82 per week against.

If the Advanced stats hold true the Cards should win this by 4-7 points.

Not sure why you doubted Blount who faced the leagues worst rush defense this week. I need a well above average week from Jordan Reed to have any chance IMO. I'd say the Cards have about a 75% chance of winning come Monday night. Maybe higher.